Tactical Advice Explainer
(MP for Chingford and Woodford Green)
Data last calculated 30th June 2024
We've manually set advice for this constituency because:
- There is an active local campaign by independent candidate Faiza Shaheen, who was the Labour candidate but has been deselected by Labour. A number of Labour activists have quit the party to back Faiza, who was also the Labour candidate in 2019.
- Labour are ahead in polls, but MRPs generally struggle to model small parties or independents with very localised support - this will be especially true in a fast-moving situation which is making national news such as Chingford and Woodford Green, where Faiza Shaheen only announced she would stand as an independent on the 5th June.
- It is not clear how many voters who would normally back Labour will vote for Faiza.
- There is a significant risk that a split vote between Labour and Faiza could result in the Tory candidate - Iain Duncan Smith - remaining an MP with only around a third of the vote.
Tories won here in 2019
Labour came 2nd
View candidates at WhoCanIVoteFor
Tactical advice made in partnership with:
2019 Result
Calculated by BBC & Sky using new 2024 boundaries
July 4th General Election Checklist
Register as a tactical voter! (and get email reminders)
Register to vote, takes 5 mins
Optionally vote from home by post
Vote Tactically!
POLITICAL POWER FOR REAL CHANGE BY VOTING SMARTLY AND STICKING TOGETHER
13 million people could vote tactically in July's general election.
That's roughly a third of voters showing up just to get the Tories out.
Register as a tactical voter by joining the Movement Forward and we can prove it.
Then together we'll tell the new government how they can earn our votes next time.